Young Player Challenge - February 2019 Update

The winter transfer period is over and our last update of the Young Player Challenge is almost one year ago. It’s time for an update.

Part of the scouting and recruiting should be young players, because among those there are many targets that have a very attractive cost-benefit ratio. Those attractive targets are hard to identify within the mass of youth players, though.

2015, we at Goalimpact have started a Young Player Challenge to identify those talents and track their success. We commercially distribute names of attractive targets to clubs. Therefore, they will be anonymous here in the blog, if their value on the website Transfermarkt.de is listed below EUR 2.5 million. Those players we define as "unknown to wider public". Once the value raises above the threshold value we will de-anonymize the player to allow you to check our work.

We also track the performance of a virtual investment portfolio in all unknown players within the top 25 players of the given date of scouting. These are the results so far.

Cohort Investment Up Down Profit Rate of Return
Apr 15 7.700.000 € 61% 17% 53.450.000 € 694,2%
Jul 15 2.450.000 € 75% 0% 21.500.000 € 877,6%
Sep 15 2.000.000 € 83% 0% 8.450.000 € 422,5%
Jan 16 3.400.000 € 92% 0% 52.700.000 € 1550,0%
Mai 16 1.525.000 € 94% 0% 55.425.000 € 3634,4%
Mrz 18 2.250.000 € 64% 7% 53.700.000 € 2386,7%
Feb 19 850.000 €

Since the last update in March 2018 some players gained quite some value again.

The investment sum is fairly small this time. The reason is that we extended the number of youth leagues covered by Goalimpact in many countries. The top talents are therefore populated with younger players than in previous cohorts and hence are less expensive to buy.

Player Transfermarkt First Listed Transfermarkt @first listed Goalimpact Peak Age
Anonymous Talent 82 0 € Feb 19 0 € 50,7 181,3 16
Anonymous Talent 67 0 € Feb 19 0 € 39,9 174,8 14
Matthijs de Ligt 25.000.000 € Mrz 18 25.000.000 € 140,5 174,6 19
Anonymous Talent 68 0 € Feb 19 0 € 45,4 173,3 16
Anonymous Talent 69 200.000 € Feb 19 200.000 € 66,6 173,2 16
Anonymous Talent 70 25.000 € Feb 19 25.000 € 45,4 172,1 16
Anonymous Talent 71 0 € Feb 19 0 € 44,0 171,6 16
Anonymous Talent 72 0 € Feb 19 0 € 37,9 170,4 16
Anonymous Talent 59 175.000 € Mrz 18 175.000 € 142,6 168,5 20
Anonymous Talent 56 700.000 € Mrz 18 300.000 € 136,6 165,4 19
Anonymous Talent 74 300.000 € Feb 19 300.000 € 56,2 165,2 16
Anonymous Talent 75 50.000 € Feb 19 50.000 € 69,5 164,9 16
Ryan Gravenberch 5.000.000 € Feb 19 5.000.000 € 58,8 164,0 16
Anonymous Talent 77 150.000 € Feb 19 150.000 € 49,8 163,8 16
Anonymous Talent 78 0 € Feb 19 0 € 55,0 163,8 16
Anonymous Talent 79 0 € Feb 19 0 € 32,5 162,4 16
Anonymous Talent 80 0 € Feb 19 0 € 42,2 162,4 16
Anonymous Talent 81 0 € Feb 19 0 € 37,7 160,9 16
Kai Havertz 65.000.000 € Feb 19 65.000.000 € 128,8 160,8 19
Anonymous Talent 83 0 € Feb 19 0 € 65,3 160,6 16
Anonymous Talent 84 0 € Feb 19 0 € 76,2 160,1 17
Anonymous Talent 73 50.000 € Feb 19 50.000 € 25,1 160,1 15
Anonymous Talent 85 0 € Feb 19 0 € 48,1 159,7 16
Anonymous Talent 86 50.000 € Feb 19 50.000 € 55,6 159,4 16
Anonymous Talent 87 0 € Feb 19 0 € 30,0 159,4 16
Anonymous Talent 88 25.000 € Feb 19 25.000 € 62,0 159,3 16
Anonymous Talent 89 0 € Feb 19 0 € 41,9 158,7 16
Anonymous Talent 90 0 € Feb 19 0 € 60,1 157,7 16
Anonymous Talent 91 0 € Feb 19 0 € 45,8 157,4 16
Anonymous Talent 92 0 € Feb 19 0 € 50,8 156,2 16
Jadon Sancho 70.000.000 € Mrz 18 8.000.000 € 114,5 156,1 18
Anonymous Talent 54, Callum Hudson-Odoi 25.000.000 € Mrz 18 0 € 106,1 155,3 18
Anonymous Talent 63, Reiss Nelson 17.000.000 € Mrz 18 0 € 115,6 153,7 19
Anonymous Talent 64 0 € Mrz 18 0 € 104,5 151,3 18
Anonymous Talent 50 400.000 € Mai 16 0 € 120,4 148,5 19
Anonymous Talent 53 300.000 € Mrz 18 75.000 € 64,7 146,7 17
Anonymous Talent 44 750.000 € Mai 16 100.000 € 122,5 146,2 20
Anonymous Talent 65 0 € Mrz 18 0 € 93,1 145,1 18
Anonymous Talent 57 2.000.000 € Mrz 18 500.000 € 92,3 143,7 18
Anonymous Talent 55 100.000 € Mrz 18 50.000 € 77,0 141,7 17
Anonymous Talent 47 600.000 € Mai 16 150.000 € 119,2 140,4 21
Anonymous Talent 61 50.000 € Mrz 18 75.000 € 54,6 140,0 17
Anonymous Talent 58, Alphonso Davies 10.000.000 € Mrz 18 700.000 € 90,9 139,9 18
Anonymous Talent 52 300.000 € Mai 16 0 € 117,2 138,6 21
Anonymous Talent 60 100.000 € Mrz 18 50.000 € 81,0 136,5 17
Anonymous Talent 66 500.000 € Mrz 18 300.000 € 70,3 136,2 17
Anonymous Talent 43 600.000 € Mai 16 0 € 106,2 134,9 19
Anonymous Talent 46 300.000 € Mai 16 0 € 107,5 134,8 20
Anonymous Talent 45 150.000 € Mai 16 50.000 € 105,5 130,3 20
Anonymous Talent 42 450.000 € Mai 16 0 € 101,9 129,2 20
Anonymous Talent 62 25.000 € Mrz 18 25.000 € 59,8 127,8 17

With Callum Hudson-Odoi, Reiss Nelson and Alphonso Davies we de-anonymized three players because their market value skyrocketed above the 2.500.000€ threshold. In fact they are all listed with 10.000.000€ and more just eleven months after they were included in our list.

Let’s see hpw those many 16 years old players in the new list develop over time. We can safely assume it will take more than eleven month this time for them to be uncovered to a wider public. Stay tuned.