FC Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund: Goalimpact of Lineups

Dortmund has a much better starting XI, but the home field advantage gives Schalke a slight edge. Still, the probability of an draw is rather high. This is in contrast to the betting markets that see Dortmund as a 50% favorite.

It maybe is also a function of the much better bench of Dortmund. With Schmelzer, Kagawa and Jojic, they have three additional 110+ players to bring into play. Schalke only has Kaan Ayhan.

Odds based on starting XI: FC Schalke 04: 43.4% (Home), draw: 30.1%, Borussia Dortmund: 26.6%

FC Schalke 04

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Dennis Aogo95.099.827.7Deutschland29923585
Sidney Sam121.5123.226.6Deutschland25017064
Joel Matip113.2121.323.1Kamerun22318325
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar140.9157.731.1Niederlande44235383
Marco Höger113.3115.724.914911695
Atsuto Uchida117.1118.426.4Japan23320211
Roman Neustädter129.8131.326.526421690
Ralf Fährmann101.1117.325.911810921
Maxim Choupo-Moting98.199.425.4Kamerun19511581
Kevin Prince Boateng106.8111.227.5Ghana29421404
Max Meyer107.8143.818.9Deutschland [U19]936314
Average113.1121.725.8
Bench
Chinedu Obasi108.8114.928.3Nigeria16110922
Tranquillo Barnetta109.8116.829.3Schweiz34724404
Marcel Sobottka91.3113.220.3968515
Christian Wetklo98.298.534.718316799
Christian Clemens98.7106.823.1Deutschland [U21]16811712
Christian Fuchs105.6111.828.4Österreich38131156
Kaan Ayhan116.7142.919.8Türkei [U21]927718
Average104.2115.026.3


Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Sven Bender122.0123.425.3Deutschland25517719
?ukasz Piszczek131.0138.029.3Polen27021691
Erik Durm105.1116.222.3Deutschland [U21]1249634
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang109.9111.725.2Gabun24017009
Matthias Ginter107.2127.620.6Deutschland [U21]13211967
Roman Weidenfeller142.5143.234.141538371
Adrián Ramos107.8114.228.6Kolumbien22117924
Kevin Großkreutz133.9134.226.1Deutschland [U21]31624589
Mats Hummels157.4158.025.7Deutschland30326560
Ciro Immobile105.2108.524.5Italien1439987
Neven Suboti?151.0151.625.8Serbien28626346
Average124.8129.726.1
Bench
Joseph-Claude Gyau97.2109.721.9966261
Shinji Kagawa122.2123.425.5Japan17112794
Sokratis Papastathopoulos106.7107.426.3Griechenland25320876
Marcel Schmelzer141.9143.726.6Deutschland25121777
Mitsuru Maruoka78.0117.418.7171105
Mitchell Langerak109.9125.226.0605432
Miloš Jojic110.7121.222.4Serbien [U21]764965
Average109.5121.123.9


Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: Goalimpact of Lineups

Dortmund has the slightly better starting XI and due to the home field advantage are expected to win. Betfair favors Dortmund slightly more.

Borussia Dortmund: 51.9%
Draw: 28.0%
Bayer Leverkusen: 20.1%

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Marco Reus114.5116.225.2Deutschland27121167
Miloš Jojic109.6119.922.3Serbien [U21]734733
Erik Durm104.3115.222.3Deutschland [U21]1209308
Sebastian Kehl104.1142.734.5Deutschland43435004
Mitchell Langerak108.8124.625.9575153
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang109.0110.925.1Gabun23616667
Sokratis Papastathopoulos105.9106.326.2Griechenland24920504
Ciro Immobile105.4108.724.4Italien1419801
Matthias Ginter107.0127.620.5Deutschland [U21]13011781
Lukasz Piszczek130.1136.929.2Polen26621319
Henrikh Mkhitaryan128.6129.625.5Armenien22418865
Average111.6121.725.6
Bench
Average0.00.00.0


Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Hakan Çalhanoglu97.7118.520.5Türkei13510865
Gonzalo Castro122.3125.527.2Deutschland [U21]36529722
Emir Spahic87.6121.733.9Bosnien-Herzegowina24922434
Bernd Leno106.6153.822.4Deutschland [U21]20419034
Karim Bellarabi104.6108.124.3Deutschland [U21]1248615
Stefan Kießling121.3133.130.5Deutschland40630012
Sebastian Boenisch112.1116.327.5Polen17513347
Tin Jedvaj90.3128.918.7Kroatien [U21]221883
Heung-Min Son96.6108.022.1Südkorea15510400
Simon Rolfes125.1152.132.5Deutschland48840314
Ömer Toprak119.7121.725.0Türkei22319068
Average107.6126.225.9
Bench
Average0.00.00.0



Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: DFB-Pokal Final

Bayern playing with the young talent Højbjerg seems a risk, but they are favorites nevertheless. Btw. Shaqiri should be better than Ribery next season due to age effects.

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Roman Weidenfeller128.1128.133.841137968
Mats Hummels154.2156.425.3Deutschland29425765
Sokratis Papastathopoulos110.0110.325.9Griechenland24219847
Lukasz Piszczek132.5138.028.9Polen26120823
Marcel Schmelzer143.8144.526.3Deutschland24721421
Henrikh Mkhitaryan129.2131.725.3Armenien22118631
Miloš Jojic107.2122.022.1Serbien [U21]704464
Nuri Sahin131.4132.625.7Türkei28922121
Kevin Großkreutz134.4135.225.8Deutschland [U21]31024192
Robert Lewandowski144.8145.925.7Polen27922217
Marco Reus118.5122.224.9Deutschland25920091
Bench
Zlatan Alomerovic109.8109.822.911010088
Manuel Friedrich95.1133.834.7Deutschland41636399
Erik Durm102.9118.522.0Deutschland [U21]1209308
Sebastian Kehl106.7141.134.3Deutschland43435004
Jonas Hofmann105.0121.921.8Deutschland [U21]16010738
Oliver Kirch80.0100.331.722217180
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang111.5115.424.8Gabun23316586


Bayern München

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Manuel Neuer168.5168.528.1Deutschland40037385
Dante136.4147.130.5Brasilien30927631
Rafinha133.5138.928.7Brasilien33828463
Jérôme Boateng148.0149.225.7Deutschland33426959
Philipp Lahm186.6196.730.5Deutschland57551558
Javi Martínez125.1126.325.7Spanien34828648
Mario Götze145.4161.521.9Deutschland19713569
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg99.2145.318.8Dänemark [U21]674975
Toni Kroos138.7144.424.3Deutschland29520937
Arjen Robben155.9164.430.3Niederlande48935881
Thomas Müller168.6173.324.7Deutschland33426093
Bench
Lukas Raeder118.1118.120.3777146
Daniel Van Buyten90.2146.536.3Belgien45839911
Diego Contento122.3129.124.012710075
Franck Ribéry134.2149.331.1Frankreich43535164
Xherdan Shaqiri130.6143.622.6Schweiz20813487
Claudio Pizarro103.9152.635.6Peru60744354


Stats for Lineups of Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund


Expected goal difference given the line-ups 0.659

Real Madrid

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Iker Casillas165.8165.832.8Spanien74168816
Pepe141.9157.331.1Portugal32328691
Sergio Ramos168.4173.428.0Spanien49243688
Fábio Coentrão125.4125.626.1Portugal22117044
Dani Carvajal125.3139.622.3Spanien [U21]816749
Gareth Bale124.6129.024.8Wales31226413
Xabi Alonso164.2188.732.3Spanien61750691
Luka Modric127.2132.628.6Kroatien31725920
Isco113.7129.421.9Spanien15211140
Cristiano Ronaldo196.4202.129.2Portugal61051015
Karim Benzema155.9156.626.3Frankreich39125529
Bench
Diego López108.7108.732.429527077
Raphaël Varane114.2137.920.9Frankreich978260
Nacho110.9117.124.2Spanien [U21]523986
Casemiro109.8124.622.1Brasilien [U20]1137164
Illarramendi118.9125.524.1Spanien [U21]1067512
José Rodríguez86.4125.919.3Spanien [U19]634029
Morata119.7139.421.4Spanien [U21]764135


Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Roman Weidenfeller126.7126.733.740637503
Mats Hummels152.7155.125.3Deutschland28725137
Sokratis Papastathopoulos108.6109.325.8Griechenland23619289
Lukasz Piszczek132.1137.628.8Polen25520303
Erik Durm100.2116.421.9Deutschland [U21]1148796
Sebastian Kehl106.8140.334.2Deutschland43034652
Henrikh Mkhitaryan128.1130.825.2Armenien21418078
Nuri Sahin131.1132.625.6Türkei28421703
Kevin Großkreutz133.1134.125.7Deutschland [U21]30323621
Marco Reus116.8120.824.8Deutschland25219452
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang111.6115.724.8Gabun22616324
Bench
Mitchell Langerak109.3109.325.6554967
Manuel Friedrich95.2133.134.6Deutschland41436283
Jonas Hofmann103.7121.321.8Deutschland [U21]15610625
Miloš Jojic104.4119.522.0Serbien [U21]634030
Oliver Kirch79.899.531.621716863
Julian Schieber115.1118.125.2Deutschland [U21]1769019
Marvin Ducksch97.3127.920.1Deutschland [U17]936245


DFB-Pokal: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund


Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Kevin Trapp111.3111.323.6Deutschland [U21]14813608
Marco Russ95.099.628.523619643
Carlos Zambrano103.9107.924.6Peru13111622
Constant Djakpa99.5102.327.31238856
Sebastian Jung120.1127.623.6Deutschland [U21]20318188
Alexander Madlung91.5108.231.6Deutschland [U21]30020907
Alexander Meier89.0101.931.1Deutschland [U21]32626272
Johannes Flum100.5100.826.220915702
Sebastian Rode107.2116.123.3Deutschland [U21]14411768
Václav Kadlec118.8136.621.7Tschechien18112272
Bench
Felix Wiedwald94.494.423.9928553
Jan Rosenthal97.8101.727.8Deutschland [U21]18412671
Takashi Inui107.8108.825.7Japan14511634
Martin Lanig100.0105.229.626417883
Stephan Schröck110.1113.227.4Philippinen22313829
Tobias Weis112.1116.728.520014650
Joselu93.099.323.8Spanien [U19]764648


Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Roman Weidenfeller124.8124.833.539436387
Manuel Friedrich94.7129.534.4Deutschland40735758
Sokratis Papastathopoulos105.3106.225.7Griechenland21917765
Lukasz Piszczek130.7135.428.7Polen24419306
Marcel Schmelzer143.1143.226.0Deutschland23820600
Sebastian Kehl106.7137.634.0Deutschland41933790
Henrikh Mkhitaryan127.2129.925.0Armenien19016004
Nuri Sahin127.2128.825.4Türkei26720316
Kevin Großkreutz131.2132.525.5Deutschland [U21]29122597
Robert Lewandowski141.6143.125.4Polen26220756
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang110.3114.124.6Gabun21515588
Bench
Mitchell Langerak110.1110.125.4554967
Marian Sarr76.5118.719.0Deutschland [U19]443499
Jonas Hofmann103.6122.621.6Deutschland [U21]14410182
Miloš Jojic101.9118.321.8Serbien [U21]573849
Oliver Kirch82.398.231.421416680
Julian Schieber114.8117.725.0Deutschland [U21]1708904
Marvin Ducksch97.4129.419.9Deutschland [U17]865743


Arsenal FC vs. Borussia Dortmund: Lineup & Stats


Arsenal FC

PlayerGoalimpactAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Wojciech Szczesny119.723.5Polen14413296
Bacary Sagna138.230.6Frankreich37733509
Per Mertesacker149.029.0Deutschland43139727
Laurent Koscielny125.128.1Frankreich20017697
Kieran Gibbs128.324.0England [U21]13010170
Tomas Rosicky129.433.0Tschechien45034549
Mikel Arteta121.531.535529946
Jack Wilshere122.321.7England1249091
Mesut Özil167.125.0Deutschland36226733
Aaron Ramsey120.422.8Wales21313794
Olivier Giroud115.827.0Frankreich20116267
Bench
Lukasz Fabianski124.428.5Polen807336
Thomas Vermaelen130.127.9Belgien30726309
Nacho Monreal114.027.6Spanien22019063
Carl Jenkinson112.621.6Finnland [U21]524112
Santi Cazorla128.828.8Spanien39328644
Serge Gnabry106.318.2151105
Nicklas Bendtner130.225.7Dänemark28017816


Borussia Dortmund

PlayerGoalimpactAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Roman Weidenfeller132.433.237934992
Neven Subotic148.524.8Serbien27725557
Mats Hummels147.224.8Deutschland27023667
Marcel Schmelzer143.925.7Deutschland23120018
Sven Bender125.124.4Deutschland23416288
Henrikh Mkhitaryan128.624.7Armenien17014385
Jakub Blaszczykowski131.127.8Polen25618092
Nuri Sahin130.925.1Türkei25218840
Kevin Großkreutz130.025.2Deutschland [U21]27421052
Robert Lewandowski144.725.1Polen24318993
Marco Reus119.124.3Deutschland22917695
Bench
Mitchell Langerak120.425.1524688
Sokratis Papastathopoulos105.725.3Griechenland19916128
Erik Durm99.621.4Deutschland [U21]937134
Jonas Hofmann107.021.2Deutschland [U21]1289699
Oliver Kirch97.931.121216517
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang110.024.3Gabun19714416
Julian Schieber117.024.6Deutschland [U21]1618665