Bayern Munich vs. Manchester United: Stats for Lineups

Given the starting XIs, Bayern München is expected to win the second leg by a margin of 0.651 goals.

Bayern München

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Manuel Neuer169.4169.428.0Deutschland39336781
Dante137.5147.530.4Brasilien30227000
Jérôme Boateng147.4148.825.6Deutschland32726308
Philipp Lahm188.7198.230.4Deutschland56750866
David Alaba132.0149.121.8Österreich23419148
Franck Ribéry135.4149.931.0Frankreich42734515
Mario Götze145.9162.521.8Deutschland18813085
Toni Kroos139.4145.424.3Deutschland28820374
Mario Mandžukic130.9135.627.8Kroatien25920301
Arjen Robben157.5165.330.2Niederlande48135286
Thomas Müller161.3166.324.6Deutschland31324526
Bench
Lukas Raeder117.4117.420.3746913
Daniel Van Buyten91.6146.836.2Belgien45739818
Rafinha134.3139.628.6Brasilien33328174
Mitchell Weiser101.3133.119.9Deutschland [U17]776015
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg98.8145.918.7Dänemark [U21]654789
Claudio Pizarro103.8151.635.5Peru60244075
Patrick Weihrauch101.2131.720.1Deutschland [U19]905844


Manchester United

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
De Gea120.0120.023.4Spanien [U21]24222483
Patrice Evra151.9178.932.9Frankreich55948403
Phil Jones108.3123.122.1England14511687
Chris Smalling112.9118.524.3England15211800
Nemanja Vidic121.9146.932.4Serbien34130055
Michael Carrick131.1157.132.7England58749056
Darren Fletcher115.9123.530.2Schottland36326743
Antonio Valencia121.6127.028.7Ecuador31924842
Shinji Kagawa125.1128.425.0Japan16012055
Wayne Rooney172.1177.328.4England57045830
Danny Welbeck108.9118.523.3England19612777
Bench
Anders Lindegaard98.598.530.0Dänemark979020
Rio Ferdinand120.4167.335.4England69962981
Alexander Büttner100.8103.725.21349637
Ryan Giggs32.8178.740.3Großbritannien94071798
Ashley Young117.0122.428.8England40131854
Adnan Januzaj91.0132.219.2301859
Javier Hernández124.0124.625.8Mexiko25414508


Stats for Lineups of ManU vs Bayern München

Given the following starting XI, we expect a goal difference of -0.343 and thus we expect Bayern Munich to win even in Manchester with a higher probability than originally expected.

Manchester United

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
De Gea120.0120.023.4Spanien [U21]24222483
Phil Jones108.3123.122.1England14511687
Rio Ferdinand120.4167.335.4England69962981
Nemanja Vidic121.9146.932.4Serbien34130055
Alexander Büttner100.8103.725.21349637
Ryan Giggs32.8178.740.3Großbritannien94071798
Michael Carrick131.1157.132.7England58749056
Antonio Valencia121.6127.028.7Ecuador31924842
Marouane Fellaini116.8117.726.3Belgien29925744
Wayne Rooney172.1177.328.4England57045830
Danny Welbeck108.9118.523.3England19612777
Bench
Anders Lindegaard98.598.530.0Dänemark979020
Nani134.8138.227.3Portugal31822657
Ashley Young117.0122.428.8England40131854
Darren Fletcher115.9123.530.2Schottland36326743
Shinji Kagawa125.1128.425.0Japan16012055
Adnan Januzaj91.0132.219.2301859
Javier Hernández124.0124.625.8Mexiko25414508


Bayern München

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Manuel Neuer169.4169.428.0Deutschland39336781
Rafinha134.3139.628.6Brasilien 33328174
Jérôme Boateng147.4148.825.6Deutschland32726308
Philipp Lahm188.7198.230.4Deutschland56750866
David Alaba132.0149.121.8Österreich23419148
Franck Ribéry135.4149.931.0Frankreich42734515
Javi Martínez125.4126.825.6Spanien34028091
Bastian Schweinsteiger182.0188.129.7Deutschland55642679
Toni Kroos139.4145.424.3Deutschland28820374
Arjen Robben157.5165.330.2Niederlande48135286
Thomas Müller161.3166.324.6Deutschland31324526
Bench
Tom Starke96.896.833.0Deutschland [U20]27125144
Daniel Van Buyten91.6146.836.2Belgien45739818
Xherdan Shaqiri130.7144.022.5Schweiz20713441
Mario Götze145.9162.521.8Deutschland18813085
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg98.8145.918.7Dänemark [U21]654789
Mario Mandžukic130.9135.627.8Kroatien25920301
Claudio Pizarro103.8151.635.5Peru60244075


Manchester United vs. Bayer Leverkusen: Lineups and Stats


Manchester United

PlayerGoalimpactAgeNational TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
De Gea131.522.8Spanien [U21]19418061
Patrice Evra168.532.3Frankreich51244216
Rio Ferdinand157.034.8England68161482
Chris Smalling128.923.8England1118486
Nemanja Vidic152.831.9Serbien30927413
Michael Carrick143.432.1England51943143
Antonio Valencia129.528.1Ecuador28021936
Shinji Kagawa133.724.5Japan13810532
Marouane Fellaini117.425.8Belgien26823505
Wayne Rooney168.627.9England53342678
Robin van Persie150.230.1Niederlande44931397
Bench
Anders Lindegaard109.829.4Dänemark958834
Jonny Evans138.025.7Nordirland21618648
Fabio115.823.1754477
Anderson139.025.4Brasilien Olymp.20213040
Ashley Young124.528.1England37030300
Tom Cleverley114.324.1England1229232
Javier Hernandez132.425.3Mexiko22212985


Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerGoalimpactAgeNational TeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Bernd Leno115.121.5Deutschland [U21]15414322
Emir Spahic108.633.0Bosnien-Herzegowina21019026
Sebastian Boenisch123.726.6Polen14710885
Ömer Toprak119.224.1Türkei17414680
Giulio Donati93.523.6Italien [U21]887415
Stefan Reinartz126.224.7Deutschland [U21]21618469
Simon Rolfes132.531.6Deutschland44837097
Emre Can115.219.6Deutschland [U21]736058
Sidney Sam124.425.6Deutschland [U21]21915182
Heung-Min Son99.221.1Südkorea1137223
Stefan Kießling130.729.6Deutschland36826831
Bench
Palop129.539.938735629
Philipp Wollscheid107.924.516214245
Roberto Hilbert119.628.9Deutschland35127973
Lars Bender117.824.3Deutschland22816464
Levin Öztunali94.517.5272190
Robbie Kruse101.324.9Australien1399671
Eren Derdiyok117.525.2Schweiz23613658


Top-50 Football Players June 2013


I did my monthly update of the database and subsequently of all players' Goalimpacts. This time I did not only add the new games in May, but also added some more competitions. Now I have a total of 163 competitions covered. New is e.g. the Chinese Super League, the Turkish and the Portuguese second league  and the Algerian division 1. So if you are looking for good players in any of these, just contact me.

As always, here are the top 50 players under 30 according to their influence on the teams goal difference ("Goalimpact"). We have four new entries

  • Luiz Gustavo
  • Robert Lewandowski
  • Fernando
  • Theo Walcott
Dani Valves dropped out of the list as he became 30 in May.

The 50 players come from 15 different teams playing in 10 different leagues. This underlines that the algorithm is capable to select and compare players across teams and leagues fairly well. He even can identify top players outside of the five big leagues.

Rank Player GoalImpact Team Nationality Previous
Rank
Diff GI
1 Cristiano Ronaldo 194,4 Real Madrid Portugal 1 +1,32
2 Lionel Messi 189,3 FC Barcelona Argentinien, Spanien 2 +1,01
3 Philipp Lahm 188,8 Bayern München Deutschland 3 +3,67
4 Bastian Schweinsteiger 185,1 Bayern München Deutschland 4 +2,30
5 Cesc Fabregas 173,1 FC Barcelona Spanien 6 +0,39
6 Iniesta 170,0 FC Barcelona Spanien 7 +0,06
7 Busquets 170,0 FC Barcelona Spanien 9 +0,63
8 Wayne Rooney 169,9 Manchester United England 8 +0,46
9 Mesut Özil 168,4 Real Madrid Deutschland 10 +0,49
10 Thomas Müller 167,0 Bayern München Deutschland 11 +1,69
11 Arjen Robben 166,0 Bayern München Niederlande 14 +2,22
12 Sergio Ramos 164,4 Real Madrid Spanien 13 +0,40
13 Manuel Neuer 164,2 Bayern München Deutschland 16 +3,64
14 Pique 162,8 FC Barcelona Spanien 15 -0,45
15 Pedro 162,6 FC Barcelona Spanien 12 -1,71
16 Javier Mascherano 162,3 FC Barcelona Argentinien, Italien 17 +2,37
17 Karim Benzema 160,8 Real Madrid Frankreich 19 +1,56
18 Marcelo 159,9 Real Madrid Brasilien 18 +0,21
19 Gael Clichy 157,9 Manchester City Frankreich 20 +0,01
20 Salomon Kalou 153,8 Lille OSC Elfenbeinküste 21 +0,21
21 Mario Gomez 151,8 Bayern München Deutschland 22 +1,37
22 Gonzalo Higuai­n 151,1 Real Madrid Argentinien, Frankreich 24 +1,07
23 Gregory van der Wiel 150,5 Paris Saint-Germain Niederlande, Curacao 23 +0,14
24 Nani 150,1 Manchester United Portugal 25 +1,09
25 Per Mertesacker 150,0 Arsenal FC Deutschland 26 +1,36
26 Angel Di Maria 148,5 Real Madrid Argentinien 29 +0,90
27 Thiago 148,0 FC Barcelona Spanien, Brasilien 31 +0,81
28 Joao Moutinho 147,4 FC Porto Portugal 32 +0,87
29 Robin van Persie 147,4 Manchester United Niederlande 27 -0,99
30 Andriy Pyatov 147,0 Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine 33 +0,68
31 Johnny Heitinga 146,6 Everton FC Niederlande 30 -1,01
32 Toby Alderweireld 146,6 AFC Ajax Belgien, Niederlande 37 +1,16
33 Holger Badstuber 146,5 Bayern München Deutschland 35 +0,59
34 Jerome Boateng 146,4 Bayern München Deutschland 40 +1,47
35 Sami Khedira 146,0 Real Madrid Deutschland 38 +0,57
36 Toni Kroos 145,9 Bayern München Deutschland 36 +0,32
37 Neven Subotic 145,9 Borussia Dortmund Serbien, USA 41 +1,16
38 Jan Vertonghen 145,8 Tottenham Hotspur Belgien 34 -0,17
39 Siem de Jong 145,2 AFC Ajax Niederlande 46 +0,95
40 Wesley Sneijder 145,1 Galatasaray Niederlande 42 +0,43
41 Marcel Schmelzer 145,0 Borussia Dortmund Deutschland 43 +0,40
42 Luiz Gustavo 145,0 Bayern München Brasilien 51 +1,32
43 Fernandinho 144,8 Shakhtar Donetsk Brasilien 44 +0,24
44 Robert Lewandowski 144,8 Borussia Dortmund Polen 52 +1,21
45 Emmanuel Adebayor 144,6 Tottenham Hotspur Togo 50 +0,92
46 Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 144,2 FC Schalke 04 Niederlande 45 -0,06
47 Willian 144,0 Anzhi Makhachkala Brasilien 47 +0,00
48 Nigel de Jong 143,7 AC Milan Niederlande, Suriname 48 -0,17
49 Fernando 143,6 FC Porto Brasilien 53 +0,37
50 Theo Walcott 143,2 Arsenal FC England, Barbados 55 +1,51


Hall Of Fame - The Best Football Players of All Time

So far, only 65 players in history managed to have a Goalimpact of more than 160. Here is the full list in order of entry.

NumberDate of EntryNameTeam
104/1976Gerd MüllerBayern München
204/1976Franz BeckenbauerBayern München
312/1976Sepp MaierBayern München
404/1980Berti VogtsBor. Mönchengladbach
505/1981Paul BreitnerBayern München
605/1985Felix MagathHamburger SV
706/1985Bodo RudwaleitBFC Dynamo
804/1986Dieter HoeneßBayern München
906/1986Klaus AugenthalerBayern München
1012/1986Norbert TrieloffBFC Dynamo
1105/1987Erich ObermayerAustria Wien
1206/1987Manfred KaltzHamburger SV
1312/1987Uli SteinEintracht Frankfurt
1406/1988Herbert ProhaskaAustria Wien
1504/1990Hans PflüglerBayern München
1611/1993ZubizarretaFC Barcelona
1710/1994Bernd SchusterBayer Leverkusen
1806/1995Leo LainerRB Salzburg
1910/1997SanchisReal Madrid
2010/1998Lothar MatthäusBayern München
2104/2002Andreas MöllerFC Schalke 04
2203/2003Oliver KahnBayern München
2302/2006Patrick VieiraJuventus
2403/2006Ryan GiggsManchester United
2510/2006Claude MakeleleChelsea FC
2611/2006Paul ScholesManchester United
2712/2006Gary NevilleManchester United
2810/2007Luis FigoInter
2912/2008Thierry HenryFC Barcelona
3012/2008John TerryChelsea FC
3102/2009Edwin van der SarManchester United
3210/2009PuyolFC Barcelona
3310/2009XaviFC Barcelona
3411/2009Frank LampardChelsea FC
3503/2010Iker CasillasReal Madrid
3606/2010Ashley ColeChelsea FC
3706/2010Victor ValdesFC Barcelona
3806/2010Petr CechChelsea FC
3907/2010Lionel MessiFC Barcelona
4011/2010Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
4112/2010Bastian SchweinsteigerBayern München
4203/2011Alessandro NestaAC Milan
4304/2011Ricardo CarvalhoReal Madrid
4405/2011Dani AlvesFC Barcelona
4507/2011Philipp LahmBayern München
4609/2011IniestaFC Barcelona
4710/2011Wayne RooneyManchester United
4810/2011Xabi AlonsoReal Madrid
4911/2011KakaReal Madrid
5011/2011BusquetsFC Barcelona
5112/2011Cesc FabregasFC Barcelona
5202/2012LucioInter
5303/2012Patrice EvraManchester United
5405/2012Mesut ÖzilReal Madrid
5505/2012PedroFC Barcelona
5606/2012ArbeloaReal Madrid
5708/2012PiqueFC Barcelona
5808/2012Sergio RamosReal Madrid
5910/2012Mark van BommelPSV Eindhoven
6012/2012Thomas MüllerBayern München
6112/2012AlexParis Saint-Germain
6212/2012Zlatan IbrahimovicParis Saint-Germain
6303/2013Arjen RobbenBayern München
6404/2013Javier MascheranoFC Barcelona
6505/2013Manuel NeuerBayern München


Goalimpact allows, in principle, for inter-temporal comparison. However, we can see that today more player per year enter the list than in the 1990s and before. One reason for this is the emergence of more leagues in my database and a resulting score inflation. Another reason is the higher amount of games played by a single player today as compared to the 'good old times'. This makes the job easier for the algorithm to differentiate between good and bad players and good players therefore can easier reach higher values.

I like historical analysis and if I come around data from the old times that are missing at the moment, I'll try to add them to my database and update this list. One league that comes to mind is the Dutch Eredivisie. I have it only from 2003 onward. Johan Cruyff was at his time in he top 30 of the players all along, but could never reach 160+ because I recorded too few minutes of him and his scored therefore suffered from the regression to the mean. I'd love to add his time at Ajax.