Iceland vs Netherlands 2:0

Because of the upset caused by the victory of the apparent underdog Iceland, here the Goalimpact values of all players. Iceland has some decent players, but the Netherlands should have won this. Yet, given the home field advantage the odds based on the starting XI were

Iceland: 32.6% (Home), draw: 30.8%, The Netherlands: 36.6%

Accounting for the fact that the Dutch bench was also much better, substitutions should make the Netherlands an even clearer favorite.

Iceland

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeClubNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Ari Skúlason96.1100.127.4Odense BK22119185
Ragnar Sigurðsson117.4123.328.3FK Krasnodar24922757
Jón Böðvarsson90.7101.622.3Viking FK1037680
Kári Árnason89.8114.032.0Rotherham United27123280
Birkir Bjarnason88.189.126.3Pescara Calcio21114514
Gylfi Sigurðsson109.6111.825.1Swansea City22915322
Hannes Halldórsson105.0106.430.4Sandnes Ulf14213112
Teddy Bjarnason97.6102.127.6Randers FC17914701
Kolbeinn Sigþórsson110.6113.924.6AFC Ajax1539701
Emil Hallfreðsson85.895.530.3Hellas Verona21116266
Aron Gunnarsson102.8104.125.4Cardiff City29823885
Average99.4105.627.2
Bench
Ólafur Skúlason80.8101.131.5SV Zulte-Waregem18713103
Þórarinn Valdimarsson95.599.124.4AB Vestmannaeyja1159144
Gunnleifur Gunnleifsson95.4106.539.3Breidablik13712599
Ingvar Jónsson106.2128.824.9UMF Stjarnan878118
Rúrik Gíslason95.697.326.6FC Köbenhavn22614872
Helgi Daníelsson82.0112.533.3Os Belenenses21717993
Sölvi Ottesen93.0105.830.6FK Ural16113773
Birkir Sævarsson90.998.429.9SK Brann19716653
Viðar Kjartansson100.8104.224.6Valerenga IF806468
Hallgrímur Jónasson88.894.828.4SönderjyskE13912294
Alfreð Finnbogason111.5112.325.7Real Sociedad16512591
Average94.6105.529.0


The Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeClubNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Nigel de Jong136.0143.429.8AC Milan47037378
Stefan de Vrij123.8133.622.7Lazio Roma17214734
Wesley Sneijder139.7149.930.3Galatasaray47737374
Arjen Robben153.2166.630.7Bayern München50437244
Daley Blind135.1138.524.6Manchester United18315272
Jasper Cillessen115.7134.125.4AFC Ajax1029224
Jeremain Lens138.3140.726.8Dinamo Kiev29820553
Ibrahim Afellay109.8115.928.5Olympiakos Piräus28820400
Bruno Martins Indi117.7127.422.7FC Porto14812718
Robin van Persie131.5148.831.2Manchester United49134717
Gregory van der Wiel151.1152.926.7Paris Saint-Germain27123491
Average132.0141.127.2
Bench
Virgil van Dijk104.8112.323.3Celtic FC12110515
Davy Klaassen114.1128.721.6AFC Ajax755797
Kenneth Vermeer121.4124.728.8Feyenoord18316857
Luciano Narsingh120.2124.724.1PSV Eindhoven1349121
Jeroen Zoet101.4134.423.8PSV Eindhoven13612563
Jeffrey Bruma105.3114.222.9PSV Eindhoven13611257
Leroy Fer102.1105.024.8Queens Park Rangers25119922
Quincy Promes116.7126.122.8Spartak Moskva897737
Jordy Clasie117.9125.323.3Feyenoord17214282
Paul Verhaegh74.791.431.1FC Augsburg32929653
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar142.1159.331.2FC Schalke 0444835867
Joël Veltman116.1125.722.8AFC Ajax614818
Average111.4122.725.0



Brazil vs Netherlands: Goalimpact of Lineups


Brazil

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Júlio César116.7116.734.8Toronto FC38535600
Thiago Silva129.3135.129.8Paris Saint-Germain27825090
David Luiz132.0135.127.2Chelsea FC26623452
Maxwell141.2168.632.8Paris Saint-Germain42034144
Maicon120.7148.432.9AS Roma41236520
Paulinho113.4113.625.9Tottenham Hotspur17313801
Oscar124.8136.522.8Chelsea FC20414181
Ramires130.2133.527.3Chelsea FC34327614
Luiz Gustavo141.7144.226.9VfL Wolfsburg25019840
Willian141.0141.425.9Chelsea FC27920448
113.4116.827.3Atletico Mineiro25217578
Average127.7135.428.5
Bench
Jefferson93.993.931.5Botafogo RJ22720944
Victor115.1115.131.4Atletico Mineiro24422712
Dani Alves177.3193.231.2FC Barcelona55147330
Marcelo150.6151.026.2Real Madrid29224355
Dante136.1148.130.7Bayern München31227941
Henrique104.9109.427.8SSC Napoli17615694
Fernandinho145.1150.829.2Manchester City26522041
Hernanes123.6129.229.1Inter31625373
Bernard101.6118.521.8Shakhtar Donetsk1027331
Hulk131.0136.227.9Zenit St. Petersburg21817909
Fred110.1122.430.8Fluminense RJ25118566
Average126.3133.428.9


Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Jasper Cillessen114.4114.425.2AFC Ajax897960
Ron Vlaar116.5122.229.3Aston Villa24021337
Stefan de Vrij120.1133.722.4Feyenoord16313843
Bruno Martins112.9126.522.4Feyenoord13511543
Daley Blind135.1140.524.3AFC Ajax17314378
Jonathan de Guzmán108.2110.326.8Swansea City28923053
Jordy Clasie117.7128.623.0Feyenoord15913185
Georginio Wijnaldum128.8136.923.7PSV Eindhoven24619625
Robin van Persie135.7149.430.9Manchester United48233896
Arjen Robben157.8167.430.4Bayern München49636543
Dirk Kuyt128.4160.933.9Fenerbahce71256475
Average125.1135.526.6
Bench
Michel Vorm103.3103.330.7Swansea City26023975
Tim Krul97.097.026.3Newcastle United17716391
Daryl Janmaat123.3126.824.9Feyenoord18715691
Paul Verhaegh81.694.730.8FC Augsburg29726825
Joël Veltman115.2128.622.5AFC Ajax504002
Terence Kongolo98.2126.320.3Feyenoord433159
Jeremain Lens139.8141.426.6Dinamo Kiev28819897
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar136.3149.930.9FC Schalke 0441833335
Memphis Depay102.4130.520.4PSV Eindhoven996044
Average110.8122.125.9

Odds based on starting XI: Brazil: 51.1%, draw: 28.2%, Netherlands: 20.7%

In the original lineup Wesley Sneijder was ment to plaay instead of de Guzman. But he had to drop out on a muscle injury. With him, the odds would have been Brazil: 49.5%, draw: 28.7%, Netherlands: 21.8%.

Netherlands vs Argentina: Goalimpact of Lineups

The odds based on the players alone see Argentina as favorite. However, our feeling is that the tactical concept of the Netherlands might more than outweigh the better Argentinian players.

Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Jasper Cillessen112.5112.525.1AFC Ajax857588
Ron Vlaar114.6120.429.3Aston Villa23620965
Stefan de Vrij118.3132.322.3Feyenoord15913487
Bruno Martins111.3125.322.3Feyenoord13211321
Daley Blind133.0139.024.3AFC Ajax16914006
Nigel de Jong136.6142.529.5AC Milan45436044
Wesley Sneijder142.8149.030.0Galatasaray45035013
Georginio Wijnaldum127.0135.723.6PSV Eindhoven24219393
Robin van Persie135.4148.530.8Manchester United47933654
Arjen Robben156.0165.230.3Bayern München49236171
Dirk Kuyt129.5161.033.8Fenerbahce71056293
Average128.8139.227.4
Bench
Michel Vorm103.2103.230.6Swansea City26023975
Tim Krul97.197.126.2Newcastle United17716391
Daryl Janmaat121.4125.324.8Feyenoord18415412
Paul Verhaegh82.394.730.8FC Augsburg29626769
Joël Veltman114.4128.122.4AFC Ajax493986
Terence Kongolo97.2126.020.3Feyenoord423155
Jonathan de Guzmán107.8109.626.8Swansea City28722913
Jordy Clasie117.3128.722.9Feyenoord15913185
Jeremain Lens139.8141.126.5Dinamo Kiev28519808
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar136.3149.230.8FC Schalke 0441733318
Memphis Depay100.4129.220.3PSV Eindhoven965935
Average110.7121.125.7


Argentina

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Sergio Romero116.9116.927.3AS Monaco22520497
Ezequiel Garay132.0136.127.7SL Benfica26323624
Martín Demichelis119.2148.833.4Manchester City44737298
Marcos Rojo114.7120.924.2Sporting CP13310849
Pablo Zabaleta133.7139.629.3Manchester City41634814
Lucas Biglia131.2136.428.3Lazio Roma38332685
Enzo Pérez119.9125.028.3SL Benfica29722299
Javier Mascherano164.4170.630.0FC Barcelona46139290
Gonzalo Higuaí­n134.8136.026.5SSC Napoli36323921
Lionel Messi181.6184.026.9FC Barcelona47138513
Ezequiel Lavezzi113.0118.729.1Paris Saint-Germain38429799
Average132.9139.428.3
Bench
Agustín Orión115.9115.932.8Boca Juniors31128680
Mariano Andújar96.996.930.8Calcio Catania33130675
Hugo Campagnaro90.1121.933.9Inter23419814
Federico Fernández112.0114.525.3SSC Napoli16813273
José Basanta103.1110.630.2CF Monterrey28124931
Fernando Gago110.6115.728.2Boca Juniors30924402
Maxi Rodriguez97.9127.333.4Newell's Old Boys44434203
Augusto Fernández103.0108.128.2Celta Vigo26819605
Ricardo Àlvarez101.6101.926.2Inter1458238
Rodrigo Palacio109.4133.832.3Inter41232006
Kun Agüero143.9143.926.0Manchester City44232861
Average107.7117.329.8


Odds based on starting XI: Netherlands: 32.8%, draw: 30.8%, Argentina: 36.3% (Neutral Ground)



Netherlands vs. Costa Rica: Goalimpact of Lineups


Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Jasper Cillessen112.5112.525.1AFC Ajax857588
Ron Vlaar114.6120.429.3Aston Villa23620965
Stefan de Vrij118.3132.322.3Feyenoord15913487
Bruno Martins111.3125.322.3Feyenoord13211321
Daley Blind133.0139.024.3AFC Ajax16914006
Wesley Sneijder142.8149.030.0Galatasaray45035013
Georginio Wijnaldum127.0135.723.6PSV Eindhoven24219393
Robin van Persie135.4148.530.8Manchester United47933654
Arjen Robben156.0165.230.3Bayern München49236171
Dirk Kuyt129.5161.033.8Fenerbahce71056293
Memphis Depay100.4129.220.3PSV Eindhoven965935
Average125.5138.026.6
Bench
Michel Vorm103.2103.230.6Swansea City26023975
Tim Krul97.197.126.2Newcastle United17716391
Daryl Janmaat121.4125.324.8Feyenoord18415412
Paul Verhaegh82.394.730.8FC Augsburg29626769
Joël Veltman114.4128.122.4AFC Ajax493986
Terence Kongolo97.2126.020.3Feyenoord423155
Jonathan de Guzmán107.8109.626.8Swansea City28722913
Jordy Clasie117.3128.722.9Feyenoord15913185
Jeremain Lens139.8141.126.5Dinamo Kiev28519808
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar136.3149.230.8FC Schalke 0441733318
Average111.7120.326.2


Costa Rica

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Keylor Navas96.996.927.5Levante UD14713579
Johnny Acosta100.9114.430.8LD Alajuelense292728
Giancarlo González103.2103.926.3Columbus Crew736435
Michael Umaña85.4107.331.9CD Chivas918059
Júnior Díaz107.9120.130.81. FSV Mainz 0519815776
Cristian Gamboa112.5117.324.6Rosenborg BK988692
Celso Borges110.4111.325.8AIK Solna20117668
Christian Bolaños101.5108.130.0FC Köbenhavn24918799
Yeltsin Tejeda98.4112.822.2131001
Joel Campbell110.6126.521.9Olympiakos Piräus1217725
Bryan Ruiz115.6121.028.8PSV Eindhoven29723106
Average103.9112.727.3
Bench
Patrick Pemberton100.8100.832.1LD Alajuelense201860
Daniel Cambronero93.193.128.4CS Herediano9837
Dave Myrie101.2101.226.0CS Herediano8641
Waylon Francis100.2108.323.7Columbus Crew191733
Michael Barrantes101.1112.830.7Aalesunds FK13811310
Esteban Granados99.4104.828.6CS Herediano11777
Diego Calvo93.5103.823.2Valerenga IF452722
José Cubero101.4104.727.3CS Herediano251836
Randall Brenes92.0104.930.8CS Cartagines583087
Marcos Ureña103.4109.424.3Kuban Krasnodar441950
Average98.6104.427.5


Odds based on starting XI: Netherlands: 44.4%, draw: 29.9%, Costa Rica: 25.8%

Netherlands vs Mexico: Goalimpact of Lineups


Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Jasper Cillessen112.5112.525.1AFC Ajax857588
Ron Vlaar114.6120.429.3Aston Villa23620965
Stefan de Vrij118.3132.322.3Feyenoord15913487
Daley Blind133.0139.024.3AFC Ajax16914006
Paul Verhaegh82.394.730.8FC Augsburg29626769
Nigel de Jong136.6142.529.5AC Milan45436044
Wesley Sneijder142.8149.030.0Galatasaray45035013
Georginio Wijnaldum127.0135.723.6PSV Eindhoven24219393
Robin van Persie135.4148.530.8Manchester United47933654
Arjen Robben156.0165.230.3Bayern München49236171
Dirk Kuyt129.5161.033.8Fenerbahce71056293
Average126.2136.428.2
Bench
Michel Vorm103.2103.230.6Swansea City26023975
Tim Krul97.197.126.2Newcastle United17716391
Bruno Martins111.3125.322.3Feyenoord13211321
Daryl Janmaat121.4125.324.8Feyenoord18415412
Joël Veltman114.4128.122.4AFC Ajax493986
Terence Kongolo97.2126.020.3Feyenoord423155
Jonathan de Guzmán107.8109.626.8Swansea City28722913
Jordy Clasie117.3128.722.9Feyenoord15913185
Leroy Fer107.7113.124.4Norwich City24219322
Jeremain Lens139.8141.126.5Dinamo Kiev28519808
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar136.3149.230.8FC Schalke 0441733318
Memphis Depay100.4129.220.3PSV Eindhoven965935
Average112.8123.024.9


Mexico

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Guillermo Ochoa96.896.828.9AC Ajaccio42739735
Maza113.3139.032.6CF America42936803
Carlos Salcido110.4144.234.2UANL Tigres48043058
Rafael Márquez114.3160.035.3Club Leon48939989
Héctor Moreno118.4119.426.3Espanyol Barcelona27924334
Paul Aguilar106.6111.728.3CF America28123542
Héctor Herrera100.4106.824.1FC Porto976866
Miguel Layún103.9104.225.9CF America17512100
Andrés Guardado115.7119.927.7Bayer Leverkusen33427248
Giovani Dos Santos110.3113.525.1Villarreal CF22514782
Oribe Peralta113.3122.730.4Santos Laguna38025346
Average109.4121.729.0
Bench
José Corona100.4100.433.3Cruz Azul43240084
Alfredo Talavera102.3102.331.7Deportivo Toluca25222790
Diego Reyes104.2121.921.7FC Porto13411421
Miguel Ponce104.3107.225.2Deportivo Toluca13711126
Marco Fabián104.5108.424.8Cruz Azul22615164
Isaác Brizuela103.3111.123.8Deportivo Toluca1718663
Javier Aquino113.5119.324.3Villarreal CF1589899
Carlos Peña106.9113.124.2Club Leon1118872
Raúl Jiménez110.1120.923.1CF America1138412
Alan Pulido103.7113.823.3UANL Tigres1196387
Javier Hernández124.3124.326.0Manchester United26114801
Average107.0113.025.6


Odds based on starting XI: Netherlands: 42.1%, draw: 30.3%, Mexico: 27.6%

Netherlands vs Chile 2:0


Netherlands

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Jasper Cillessen112.5112.525.1AFC Ajax857588
Ron Vlaar114.6120.429.3Aston Villa23620965
Stefan de Vrij118.3132.322.3Feyenoord15913487
Daley Blind133.0139.024.3AFC Ajax16914006
Daryl Janmaat121.4125.324.8Feyenoord18415412
Nigel de Jong136.6142.529.5AC Milan45436044
Wesley Sneijder142.8149.030.0Galatasaray45035013
Georginio Wijnaldum127.0135.723.6PSV Eindhoven24219393
Arjen Robben156.0165.230.3Bayern München49236171
Dirk Kuyt129.5161.033.8Fenerbahce71056293
Jeremain Lens139.8141.126.5Dinamo Kiev28519808
Average130.1138.527.2
Bench
Terence Kongolo97.2126.020.3Feyenoord423155
Leroy Fer107.7113.124.4Norwich City24219322
Memphis Depay100.4129.220.3PSV Eindhoven965935
Michel Vorm103.2103.230.6Swansea City26023975
Tim Krul97.197.126.2Newcastle United17716391
Bruno Martins111.3125.322.3Feyenoord13211321
Paul Verhaegh82.394.730.8FC Augsburg29626769
Joël Veltman114.4128.122.4AFC Ajax493986
Jonathan de Guzmán107.8109.626.8Swansea City28722913
Jordy Clasie117.3128.722.9Feyenoord15913185
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar136.3149.230.8FC Schalke 0441733318
Average106.8118.625.3


Chile

PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Claudio Bravo98.698.631.2Real Sociedad29327057
Eugenio Mena123.6124.025.8Santos FC16814592
Mauricio Isla121.2121.326.0Juventus23417705
Gary Medel109.1111.226.8Cardiff City27823431
Gonzalo Jara102.4107.828.8Nottingham Forest22517784
Francisco Silva106.7111.928.3CA Osasuna22317706
Felipe Gutiérrez117.6125.923.7FC Twente15810984
Charles Aránguiz123.8126.825.1Internacional25021125
Marcelo Díaz122.4125.927.4FC Basel23416806
Alexis Sánchez136.8138.725.4FC Barcelona34423013
Eduardo Vargas120.3125.324.5Valencia CF21413936
Average116.6119.826.6
Bench
Jorge Valdivia91.4102.830.6SE Palmeiras13910193
Jean Beausejour108.1114.330.0Wigan Athletic28622430
Mauricio Pinilla90.098.930.3Cagliari Calcio19711548
Cristopher Toselli119.6119.626.0Universidad Catolica19718300
Johnny Herrera115.4115.433.1Universidad de Chile29227174
Miiko Albornoz105.4114.423.5Malmö FF14912539
José Rojas118.8132.930.9Universidad de Chile27524457
Carlos Carmona102.7105.927.3Atalanta23819440
Arturo Vidal142.3144.827.0Juventus33327441
José Fuenzalida107.7113.529.3Colo-Colo23718288
Fabián Orellana105.3110.528.3Celta Vigo23416796
Esteban Paredes91.8123.133.8Colo-Colo22819116
Average108.2116.329.2


Odds based on starting XI: Netherlands: 40.6%, draw: 30.5%, Chile: 28.9%