Inexpensive English Football Talents

Sparked by a discussion on Twitter following a tweet by @englandyouth, we will look into English talents today. Premier League clubs are complaining that they are required to have homegrown players in their teams while, according to them, there is little talent available. So the rules of supply and demand dictate high prices for the few top young English players. Or so it goes.

An alternative version of this story is, that English clubs invest too little in generating new young players and hence created the shortage themselves. The big clubs should open youth performance centers such as in many continental countries to support the education of the next generation. Due to the decreasing prices this may actually be cheaper in the long run than maintaining the status quo.

We want to put these hypothesis to a test, by looking at the top talents with English nationality accoring to Goalimpact. Goalimpact is a massively adjusted plus/minus score for football that rates all players world-wide. If we see few talents compared to other nations there, the lack of youth performance centers might really be a problem. If we see also few players at low prices, then the EPL clubs may also have a point in their short sighted view on the player market. So here is the list. As always, we anonymize players that are listed at values below one million Euros because we provide this as a scouting service to clubs. If you are club manager or trainer and are interested in the player names, please contact us at info@goalimpact.com.

Rank Player Team GoalImpact PeakGI tm.de League
1     81,2 144,6
<1 M€
League One
2     73,9 143,1
<1 M€
Championship
3     89,7 141,8
<1 M€
League One
4 Will Hughes Derby County 93,5 137,8
7.000.000 €
Championship
5 Luke Shaw Southampton FC 90,5 137,7
13.000.000 €
Premier League
6     92,0 136,8
<1 M€
League Two
7     75,5 135,7
<1 M€
League One
8     85,5 134,6
<1 M€
League One
9 Nathaniel Chalobah Middlesbrough FC 93,4 134,0
4.000.000 €
Championship
10     84,2 132,3
<1 M€
League Two
11 Raheem Sterling Liverpool FC 91,4 132,0
13.000.000 €
Premier League
12     99,0 130,7
<1 M€
League Two
13     82,8 130,1
<1 M€
League Two
14 John Stones Everton FC 95,1 129,6
4.000.000 €
Premier League
15     89,2 129,5
<1 M€
League Two
16     89,7 128,8
<1 M€
League Two
17 James Ward-Prowse Southampton FC 89,1 128,8
3.500.000 €
Premier League
18     76,8 128,4
<1 M€
Premier League
19     87,4 128,3
<1 M€
League One
20 Nick Powell Wigan Athletic 94,9 127,5
5.000.000 €
Championship
21 Calum Chambers Southampton FC 85,4 127,3
2.000.000 €
Premier League
22     84,6 127,3
<1 M€
Championship
23     89,7 125,9
<1 M€
League One
24     91,9 125,8
<1 M€
A-League
25     78,8 125,8
<1 M€
League Two

First finding is that there are not too many players that have a expected carreer peak of above 130. Given the risk involved in the development of young players, top EPL teams may not want to sign below that threshold. Given that English players are unlikely to be worse than Spanish or Dutch by nature, there is apparently really a lack of development in English youth football. As a result, the supply of young players has hard times to meet the enforced demand by top EPL clubs. So there seems to be some truth in the second hypothesis. English clubs should set up youth performance centers.

On the other side, the expensive talents are exclusively those playing either already in the Premier League or in the Championship. That is suprising because there are many talents in League One and League two, too. We'd go as far as to claim that this should be enough to meet the EPL demand without EPL teams being forced to pay scarcity prices. Therefore, it seems difficult to fully support the first hypothesis that EPL teams have too few talents to sign and hence are in a bidding contest for the best. We'd put out an alternative hypothesis:
EPL clubs do not scout in League One and Two as much as they should and hence miss a lot of promising talents. The lack of scouting scope creates artifical scarcity.
Luke Shaw is the most expensive talent
world-wide on tm.de. Is it because he is the
best or because he plays Premier League?
Especially poorer clubs should adopt their scouting behaviour. About half of the players listed above as "<1M€" will eventually become top-class. Why not leave the known talents to those teams that don't care about money as much as you do and scout off the paved roads?

A last obersvation: Only one out of the top 25 English talents plays outside of England. So we agree with Steve
It will certainly not work for everybody, but currently apparently only very few follow that path.

How well does Goalimpact fare in Scouting Football Talents?

Following my post on the top young talents of the world, Simon Gleave asked a good question
Ok. That is agood way of checking if the rating is working. We didn't choose 2000, but 2007 as reference year due to better data availability. Here is the list of the top 25 talents according to Goalimpact that we would have published based on results up to and including season 2006/2007.

Rank Player Team GoalImpact PeakGI tm.de then tm.de now League
1 Jozy Altidore New York RB 85,7 148,5 1.750.000 € 6.000.000 € Major League Soccer
2 Neven Subotic 1. FSV Mainz 05 96,8 143,1 50.000 € 20.000.000 € Bundesliga
3 Gareth Bale Southampton FC 88,9 141,9 9.500.000 € 80.000.000 € Championship
4 Daniel Reiche VfL Wolfsburg II 103,8 141,8 150.000 € 200.000 € Regionalliga Nord
5 Anderson FC Porto 102,8 141,7 25.000.000 € 6.500.000 € Primeira Liga
6 Sidnei Internacional 89,1 141,4 1.500.000 € 1.500.000 € Serie A
7 Éver Banega Boca Juniors 99,7 140,9 15.000.000 € 12.000.000 € AG - Primera Division
8 Ismaïl Aissati FC Twente 97,5 140,3 2.000.000 € 3.800.000 € Eredivisie
9 Pato Internacional 83,1 139,7 4.000.000 € 12.000.000 € Serie A
10 Daniel Schwaab SC Freiburg 96,5 139,5 700.000 € 3.500.000 € 2. Bundesliga
11 Edgar Mejía Deportivo Guadalajara 97,6 139,4 100.000 € 750.000 € MX - Primera Division
12 David Vržogic Borussia Dortmund II 84,9 139,3 200.000 € 75.000 € Regionalliga Nord
13 Pablo Piatti Estudiantes 89,5 139,3 4.500.000 € 4.000.000 € Primera Division
14 Jonny Evans Sunderland AFC 103,2 138,9 500.000 € 13.000.000 € Championship
15 Nicklas Bendtner Birmingham City 102,6 138,8 1.500.000 € 4.000.000 € Championship
16 Ivan Rakitic FC Basel 100,9 138,7 5.000.000 € 20.000.000 € Super League
17 Sven Bender TSV 1860 München II 87,9 138,5 350.000 € 18.000.000 € Regionalliga Süd
18 Theo Walcott Arsenal FC 88,9 138,2 6.700.000 € 28.000.000 € Premier League
19 Karim Benzema Olympique Lyon 102,7 138,0 5.000.000 € 34.000.000 € Ligue 1
20 Kun Agüero Atletico Madrid 96,5 137,0 20.000.000 € 45.000.000 € Primera Division
21 Lars Bender TSV 1860 München II 85,1 135,7 450.000 € 22.000.000 € Regionalliga Süd
22 Axel Witsel Standard Liege 88,3 135,6 400.000 € 35.000.000 € Eerste klasse
23 Gonzalo Higuaín Real Madrid 100,1 135,1 14.300.000 € 38.000.000 € Primera Division
24 Victor Anichebe Everton FC 95,7 135,0 900.000 € 5.000.000 € Premier League
25 Patricio Araujo Deportivo Guadalajara 98,3 134,8 1.100.000 € 875.000 € MX - Primera Division

We can categorize the players on this list according to if they were listed as talents by tm.de (proxied by a historic market value higher or equal than 1 million Euro) and whether they turned out to be really top-class (proxied by current market value greather or equal than 5 million Euro). Hence we have 4 sets as follows.

 
tm.de now>=5M€
tm.de now<5M€
tm.de then >=1M€
10
5
tm.de then <1M€
6
4

15 out of 25 players on the list were also listed as talents by transfermarkt. Out of those 15, 10 became top-class players with a current market values above 5M€. Three, Gareth Bale, Hinguain and Agüero are super stars now.

Neven Subotic could have been bought
by you one year before Dormund did it.
60% of the player that were not listed as talents by transfermarkt, also became top-class players. Most notably, the Bender brothers and Neven Subotic were identified well before they were transfer targets by top-notch Bundesliga teams.

What to make from this? If you'd buy all tm.de talents on the list in August 2007 at the then listed prices, you have to pay 116,850,000 € and if you sell them today, they earn you 295,675,000 €. This is unsurprising a lot more as those players are now in their prime age and hence worth more than when 18yo. If we take this as the normal value development, then we can expect a value increase of 150% in the time interval fom 18yo to 25yo.

Doing the same math for the not tm.de listed players yield some other numbers. Buying all 10 players that are listed by Goalimpact, but not by transfermarkt, would costs you 3,800,000 €. Selling them now would earn you 117,525,000 €. An increase in value of roughly 3000%. You don't need to be rich to buy great players, being smart is good enough.

If you are a manager or trainer of a football team and you are interested in us assisting you in scouting players, please drop us an email: info@goalimpact.com

Top Football Talents of the World

One of the key applications of Goalimpact is player scouting. The selection of players depend on many factors and many of them are not covered by Goalimpact, so hiring a player just because he is rated high is not a good idea. However, if a player is rated low, then hiring him might not be a good idea even though he fits in other aspects. In short, Goalimpact is valuable in short listing players that scouting is worthwhile.

Particular difficult is the scouting of talents. The future of young players is particularly uncertain. It is difficult to compare two players of an age different as low as half a year because they are in different stages of the development. Many scouts fail to account for this and hence we observe the Relative Age Effect. The difficulty is further increased by the lack of data availability. Hardly any youth league is tracked the same way as big professional soccer leagues. This makes it difficult to compare players with known peers.

By construction, Goalimpact ratings fully account for the relative age of players and, as heavily adjusted plus/minus scores, they run on very limited amount of data. This makes their application in talent scouting particularly valuable. To check this, we compare the top talents according to transfermarkt.de with the talents produced by Goalimpact.

We do this in both ways. Let's first look at Goalimpact's opinion on transfermarkt.de's picks of the top talents.

TM-Rank GI-Rank Player Team GoalImpact PeakGI tm.de Value Age League Games Minutes
1 119 Luke Shaw Southampton FC 90,6 137,8
13 M€
18,6 Premier League 54 4403
2 203 Timo Werner VfB Stuttgart 76,9 133,6
12 M€
17,9 Bundesliga 54 3915
3 31 Max Meyer FC Schalke 04 98,5 147,8
8 M€
18,3 Bundesliga 70 4711
4 118 Will Hughes Derby County 93,6 137,8
7 M€
18,8 Championship 75 5990
5 5 Yoeri Tielemans RSC Anderlecht 63,1 160,4
7 M€
16,8 Eerste klasse 22 1245
6 410 Jonathan Tah Hamburger SV 75,0 129,4
6.5 M€
18,0 Bundesliga 45 3937
7 176 Anthony Martial AS Monaco 83,1 134,8
5 M€
18,2 Ligue 1 23 1356
8 145 Tin Jedvaj AS Roma 84,5 136,0
5 M€
18,2 Serie A 20 1697
9 160 Ángel Correa San Lorenzo 92,0 135,3
5 M€
18,9 Primera Division 34 2427
10 462 Niklas Süle 1899 Hoffenheim 79,9 128,7
4.5 M€
18,4 Bundesliga 73 6151
11 n.a. Antonio Sanabria      
4.5 M€
       
12 274 Serge Gnabry Arsenal FC 84,8 132,0
4 M€
18,6 Premier League 28 1910
13 78 Alen Halilovic Dinamo Zagreb 74,3 140,9
4 M€
17,6 1. HNL 47 1984
14 396 Balde Diao Keita Lazio Roma 86,3 129,6
4 M€
18,9 Serie A 18 969
15 130 Adrien Rabiot Paris Saint-Germain 92,7 136,8
3.5 M€
18,8 Ligue 1 61 3992
16 n.a. Alessandro Capello      
2.5 M€
       
17 243 Zakaria Bakkali PSV Eindhoven 79,3 132,6
2.5 M€
18,0 Eredivisie 29 1623
18 17 Richairo Živkovic FC Groningen 77,5 151,6
2.5 M€
17,4 Eredivisie 27 970
19 1940 Niklas Stark 1. FC Nürnberg 69,7 114,1
2 M€
18,8 Bundesliga 46 3515
20 28 Andrija Živkovic Partizan 79,3 148,1
2 M€
17,6 Super Liga 13 735

Luke Shaw is the most expensive talent
on tm.de. Is it because he is the best or
because he plays Premier League?
Only two of the top twenty players were not covered by our rating. 17 of the 18 rated players are
predicted to be good enough for Champions League if the development is following the normal aging curve. The only exception is Niklas Stark from 1. FC Nürnberg that is not expected to be regular player on top European level in future.

To put the ratings into perspective, in total we have 2849 player U20 players in the database. So most of transfermarkt.de's picks are in the top 10% quantil according to Goalimpact's estimation of the talent. Given that the market value per se is not directly an estimate of talent, but also includes other factors such as age, position and current league, this is a very good fit. But 10% of 2849 is 285 players and not only 20, so the natural next question is 'Which players did transfermarkt.de miss?'.

Here are 20 top talents according to us. We didn't pick just the first twenty, but restricted the search to those with at least 900 minutes observed playing time to ensure that the prediction is not too uncertain. The given rank is the the position in the unfiltered list. As we want to recommend talents to interested teams, we anonymized the names of those players that are listed below 1 mio. Euro on transfermarkt.de. The lilac names were already on the list above. Andrija Živkovic would be on the list, too, but he didn't make the 900 minutes cut.

Rank Player Team GoalImpact PeakGI TM.de League
5 Yoeri Tielemans RSC Anderlecht 63,1 160,4
7 M€
Eerste klasse
6     48,5 157,5
n.a.
A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest
7     63,6 156,7
n.a.
Segunda B
9     61,0 156,4
n.a.
Segunda B
10 Julian Brandt Bay. Leverkusen 92,7 154,8
1M€
DE - Bundesliga
12     88,9 154,4
<1M€
A grupa
13     40,7 153,6
n.a.
B-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest
17 Richairo Živkovic FC Groningen 77,5 151,6
2.5 M€
Eredivisie
19     67,9 151,3
<1M€
A grupa
20     110,5 150,3
<1M€
AT - Bundesliga
21     27,1 150,1
n.a.
B-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest
23     26,6 149,5
n.a.
B-Junioren Bundesliga Nord/Nordost
25     72,3 148,3
<1M€
Scottish Premiership
30     67,5 148,0
n.a.
VZ - Primera Division
31 Max Meyer FC Schalke 04 98,5 147,8
8 M€
DE - Bundesliga
32     65,4 147,8
n.a.
A-Junioren Bundesliga West
33 Kaan Ayhan FC Schalke 04 108,0 147,7
500k€
DE - Bundesliga
34     95,7 147,5
<1M€
Superettan
38     23,9 146,9
n.a.
B-Junioren Bundesliga Nord/Nordost
40     73,9 146,7
<1M€
AT - Bundesliga

Many of the top talents are not having any price tag as they are either too young or play in a league that isn't really covered by transfermarkt.de. But even if we disregard the six youth players on this list, that leaves us with eleven young players playing in adult leagues with an predicted development that makes them interesting for top-tier clubs.

Given this insight, some prices are quoted surprisingly low on transfermarkt. We can't judge how reliable those prices are, but there seems to be a lot of value in looking for talents off the paved roads. Even players with experience in non-youth leagues that are predicted to be as good as Max Meyer are often listed as below 1 million Euros. Even if the real price is higher than what transfermarkt.de expects, that seem to be still many bargains.

If you are a manager or trainer of a football team and you are interested in us assisting you in scouting players, please drop us an email: info@goalimpact.com

U21 EC Qualifier: Ireland vs. Germany


Just as a supplement to the ongoing match between Ireland's and Germany's U21.

Irland [U21]

PlayerGoalimpactAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Aaron McCarey99.021.6Walsall FC211894
Sean McGinty88.920.1Sheffield United12918
Anthony O'Connor95.120.9Burton Albion585363
Shane Duffy93.221.7Everton FC352786
Matt Doherty93.921.6Wolverhampton Wanderers615448
Michael Harriman89.720.9Gillingham FC282431
Anthony Forde91.719.8Scunthorpe United442468
Samir Carruthers108.720.4Milton Keynes Dons322438
Sean Murray99.019.9Watford FC513445
Callum Reilly97.319.9Birmingham City231498
Aiden O'Brien93.619.9Crawley Town13444
Bench
Jack Grealish108.218.0171110
Graham Burke106.619.9Shrewsbury Town171238
Connor Smith103.720.5Watford FC15735
Sean McDermott95.920.3Sandnes Ulf343162
Joe Shaughnessy91.521.2Aberdeen FC322702
Charles Dunne88.120.5Wycombe Wanderers474103
Barry McNamee81.221.52123


Deutschland [U21]

PlayerGoalimpactAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. Minutes
Marc-Andre ter Stegen118.721.3Bor. Mönchengladbach13712880
Michael Vitzthum97.721.2Karlsruher SC1028850
Antonio Rüdiger101.320.5VfB Stuttgart765610
Shkodran Mustafi94.121.4Sampdoria211364
Erik Durm95.021.3Borussia Dortmund II886710
Amin Younes107.720.1Bor. Mönchengladbach794909
Nico Schulz101.320.4Hertha BSC916231
Moritz Leitner121.120.7VfB Stuttgart1065129
Jonas Hofmann105.921.1Borussia Dortmund1138843
Leon Goretzka101.018.6FC Schalke 04604928
Kevin Volland106.721.11899 Hoffenheim13310528
Bench
Robin Knoche121.421.3VfL Wolfsburg12110467
Leonardo Bittencourt92.419.7Hannover 96775188
Philipp Hofmann114.620.4FC Ingolstadt 041047928
Bernd Leno115.121.5Bayer Leverkusen15414322
Marvin Plattenhardt104.121.61. FC Nürnberg946991
Danny da Costa111.820.1FC Ingolstadt 04796704
Özkan Yildirim102.220.4Werder Bremen442743

Given that Germany is already 0:3 in lead, predicting a victory is no rocket science anymore. Anyway, according their Goalimpact, Germany is the better team, too. After the break, Bittencourt will instead of Jonas Hofmann, weakening the team slightly. Ireland, on contrast, exchanged Forde for Smith, making the team's average score somewhat higher.


The Dark Age of Football

Following my post on the all-time best football players aged 21, a discussion started of why there are so few players between 1987 and 2007 on this list. The time period is nearly 50% of all the total period covered, but only two, Roque Santa Cruz and Ronaldo, out of 25 players fall into those two decades. This can't be incidental, yet it is unclear what causes this 'Dark Age'.

It could be purely artificial. For example, there could be a data selection bias by including or excluding different leagues in the different time periods. Indeed I have much more leagues covered in the latest years starting from 2007 than I had in the 1980s. However, there are no discontinued national leagues. Every country's top national league that was once covered is covered until today. So there are only additions of leagues and no removals. Any addition of leagues, however, will broaden the base of players to select from and will increase the likelihood of a great player in the sample. Adding leagues should therefore lead to an increasing number of players in the list instead of a decreasing.

Another artificial source of the Dark Age could be a quirk in the Goalimpact algorithm. It is difficult to argue for or agains that. Unless the cause of a potential quirk identified, it is just hypothesizing.

A potential alternative explanation was given by an anonymous reader in a comment.

Ich schätze damals war man halt im vergleich zu heute mit 21 noch nicht zu alt ;) Denke es liegt daran, dass man in dieser Zeit einfach erst in einem höheren Alter seine Einsätze bekam...

I figure, back then 21yo players weren't considered as too old ;) I think it is caused by the fact that players got playing time a higher age those times.

Following that line of thought, young players were less good between 1987 and 2007 because they couldn't play at matches top level and hence developed slower. I like that hypothesis because it is testable. So here is the chart.


Blue line shows the average Goalimpact of all players that became 21 that year. It was stable between 95 and 96 from the sixties until the mid eighties. Then there is a sudden drop to 94 at the end of the eighties. It drops even further end of the nineties until it bottoms out in the mid 2000s and it has been on a rise since then.

As comparison, the blue line shows the average minutes players have played already in the years before they turned 21. Here we see a drop that coincides with the drop in Goalimpact at the end of eighties. When it used to be just below 1500 minutes, it dropped blow 1000. It is a drop of nearly 40% average playing time. It never picked up again until 2007, but this increase is, at least partly, because of the addition of various youth leagues to the database.

So the anonymous reader may have a point. At least the drop in Goalimpact at the end of the eighties might have been caused by the football clubs. They didn't give enough playing time to young players anymore. As a consequence the players may have developed at a higher age than in the previous decades. The big teams rather bought 'complete' players from selling countries than to educate their own youth.

However, the drop of average GI in 2000s is clearly not explained by this. Here I assume the addition leagues to be the main cause. The leagues added are mainly second tear national leagues and the average player playing there will have a lower Goalimpact than in the Big5 leagues that have previously dominated the sample.

The recent increase of the average GI, in contrast, can't be explained by the addition of new leagues. So, if indeed the effect is real, and if players did develop slower between 1987 and 2007 than before, we have an indications that this 'Dark Age of Football' is over by now.

Appendix: The data for the chart

Year Number Players Avg Goalimpact Avg #Games Avg #Minutes
1966 71 95,4 12,8 1189
1967 65 95,8 12,4 1148
1968 89 96,0 12,0 1072
1969 97 96,5 14,8 1282
1970 88 94,7 18,2 1476
1971 88 96,7 16,7 1317
1972 89 96,4 15,1 1161
1973 86 98,2 26,5 2101
1974 97 95,8 20,7 1581
1975 145 95,5 16,0 1159
1976 177 94,8 21,2 1632
1977 145 95,8 22,5 1668
1978 175 96,4 20,3 1531
1979 156 95,9 21,4 1604
1980 181 94,8 20,0 1441
1981 200 95,1 22,2 1657
1982 175 95,6 19,8 1453
1983 194 95,3 18,6 1360
1984 158 93,6 18,7 1353
1985 199 96,0 18,2 1344
1986 172 96,0 20,9 1510
1987 180 95,9 21,1 1523
1988 212 94,8 15,7 1108
1989 241 93,9 14,4 1040
1990 236 93,9 14,6 1013
1991 216 94,8 11,4 815
1992 244 93,2 12,4 871
1993 187 93,8 11,1 766
1994 221 93,5 8,6 592
1995 266 94,3 13,5 957
1996 247 93,5 11,4 758
1997 252 94,8 13,9 877
1998 324 93,4 13,2 842
1999 293 92,9 13,2 896
2000 360 93,7 12,7 826
2001 378 92,2 13,5 893
2002 422 92,4 14,4 949
2003 513 92,7 13,9 925
2004 685 91,7 12,1 787
2005 824 92,2 14,0 903
2006 968 92,4 13,8 908
2007 1151 92,2 16,6 1103
2008 1579 92,3 18,4 1226
2009 2080 92,7 18,3 1191
2010 2308 92,9 20,5 1342
2011 2171 93,2 23,3 1535
2012 2666 92,9 23,6 1535
2013 1976 93,8 26,4 1769

Germany vs. Netherlands U21 EC Match Preview

No time. Just a quick post.

Germany

Goalkeeper
Bernd Leno (107.6), Oliver Baumann (100.2), Timo Horn (105.7)

Central and wing backs
Stefan Thesker (104.8), Lasse Sobiech (94.7), Shkodran Mustafi (94.3), Matthias Ginter (118.9), Sead Kolasinac (127.5), Antonio Rüdiger (95.9), Tony Jantschke (109.1), Oliver Sorg (106.8)

Defensive Midfield
Sebastian Rudy (101.3), Patrick Funk (102.8), Sebastian Rode (108.5), Christoph Moritz (115.9), Emre Can (110.2)

Offensive Midfield, Winger
Lewis Holtby (120.2), Patrick Herrmann (104.9), Christian Clemens (96.9),

Forward
Kevin Volland (98.3), Peniel Mlapa (101.9), Sebastian Polter (106.6), Pierre-Michel Lasogga (109.3)

Players to watch out for are Lewis Holtby, Sead Kolasinac and Sebastian Ginter.

Netherlands

Goalkeeper
Jeroen Zoet (88.6), Marco Bizot (97.9), Nick Marsman (101.3)

DefenseRicardo van Rhijn (127.4), Stefan de Vrij (114.4), Bruno Martins Indi (111.6), Daley Blind (129.1), Mike van der Hoorn (99.3), Bram Nuytinck (103.4), Patrick van Aanholt (106.5)

MidfieldJordy Clasie (111.5), Kevin Strootman (119.3), Kelvin Leerdam (119.3), Georginio Wijnaldum (123.6), Leroy Fer (109.2), Marco van Ginkel (100.8), Tonny Vilhena (112.7), Adam Maher (110.8)

ForwardFlorian Jozefzoon (89.4), Luuk de Jong (116.7), Ola John (128.9), Danny Hoesen (101.7), Memphis Depay (122.6)

Players to watch out for are Georginio Wijnaldum and Daley Blind, Ola John. And many others.

No time to calculate the odds, but Netherlands seems to be the favorite in this match.